Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 912.214499 1036.415209 1176.555400 1347.441839 1551.611016 1789.506517 2090.297355
2025-01-26 754.681952 921.592619 1128.747700 1409.181533 1785.932273 2285.129313 3015.221271
2025-02-02 665.492266 849.191273 1091.066053 1441.312243 1950.398047 2688.708870 3891.781717
2025-02-09 598.086596 789.972774 1054.792089 1459.950881 2089.201912 3076.547357 4851.932552
2025-02-16 539.064112 731.774067 1007.950286 1449.967105 2175.766663 3394.957306 5790.624057
2025-02-23 504.916266 703.432404 998.380118 1491.653302 2347.871249 3890.353525 7222.032885
2025-03-02 476.926235 680.082734 991.944391 1535.068567 2528.455854 4443.546993 8993.997581
2025-03-09 446.738863 649.617477 969.787045 1547.166105 2652.851468 4918.699291 10805.650624
2025-03-16 415.598687 614.292065 935.238659 1531.489754 2719.753911 5290.598849 12542.349633
2025-03-23 395.983840 595.437805 925.640783 1558.952270 2877.113279 5906.891612 15305.995713
2025-03-30 365.811292 556.488199 877.484572 1506.771622 2856.858937 6096.698186 16877.325454
2025-04-06 340.019752 522.837938 835.426581 1460.949297 2842.122056 6297.382549 18624.158998
2025-04-13 314.929261 489.377461 792.250787 1410.809904 2816.608916 6486.062200 20571.273281
2025-04-20 307.569068 486.064878 803.696572 1474.302071 3072.967477 7557.009455 27142.870552
2025-04-27 297.062438 476.180300 801.652894 1508.710294 3266.240322 8525.288663 34485.550676
2025-05-04 285.696010 463.779755 793.474537 1528.419743 3426.775624 9463.991332 43100.640734
2025-05-11 271.977435 446.018497 773.131527 1517.840401 3503.547969 10152.858424 51399.384954
2025-05-18 265.100599 440.395985 776.288045 1562.061202 3746.380967 11585.161644 68185.922174
2025-05-25 258.793169 435.324094 779.991665 1608.140628 4008.152965 13256.515464 92133.062207
2025-06-01 249.827424 424.488693 770.718982 1620.984411 4171.664281 14614.737377 118202.225939
2025-06-08 238.963513 409.239644 750.828434 1604.341331 4236.730049 15563.921765 143661.211749
2025-06-15 232.666969 402.551653 748.697078 1633.499335 4465.000447 17503.666316 195882.782024
2025-06-22 220.111731 382.646683 716.231968 1578.104824 4385.077341 17743.124865 219265.201695